Brad Sherman Leads Howard Berman by 17 Points — New Poll

Sherman Leads Berman by 17 Points

The Feldman Group Survey Calls Sherman “Heavy Favorite” in November

A recently completed survey (July 14 – July 19, 502 sample) by pollster The Feldman Group for the Brad Sherman campaign shows Sherman with a 17 point lead over his opponent Howard Berman.

The numbers are:

Brad Sherman 46%
Howard Berman 29%
Other, not voting 5%
Undecided 21%

A memo from Feldman (attached) concludes “Sherman remains the heavy favorite in this race.”

The poll shows Sherman leading among Democrats (56% to 21%), Republicans (41% to 34%) and Independents (37% to 21%). Sherman leads among Latinos (56% to 21%) and among Jewish voters (44% to 32%).

Sherman leads in the district he currently represents 51% to 25%, and in the parts of CD30 currently represented by Henry Waxman (47% to 25%). Berman leads in the roughly 1⁄5 of CD30 that he now serves by a narrow margin of only 40% to 35%.

Sherman led Berman by a large margin (10%) in the seven-candidate June primary. The Feldman poll shows June voters who voted for someone other than Sherman or Berman, split for Sherman by a 39% to 27% margin.

Additionally, the demographics of a much higher turnout election (more Democratic, more diverse, younger) tend to strongly favor Sherman over Berman.

Voters have become increasingly firm in their preferences in this race. After balanced positive and negative messages about both candidates, Sherman’s lead increased somewhat to 49% to 25%.

Meanwhile, the Berman camp has not released the results of a poll it did in late June. “This is a strong sign that the results of their poll confirm what our poll found – that the Berman campaign is in serious trouble,” said Parke Skelton, chief strategist for the Sherman campaign. The Berman poll was reported in the FEC filings of a Berman-affiliated super PAC. That poll was donated by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates and was valued at $19,320.

Read the polling memo issued by The Feldman Group here

Latest Reports Show Sherman With Giant 6 To 1 Fund-Raising Lead

The latest Federal Elections Commission filings show Congressman Brad Sherman going into the November election with a giant fund-raising advantage over his rival for the 30th Congressional District seat, Howard Berman.

“We have more than six times as much money in the bank as Berman. That presents the Berman campaign with a very daunting fund-raising challenge,” said Parke Skelton, chief campaign strategist for the Sherman campaign.

The new numbers for the period May 17 to June 30 show Sherman with cash-on-hand of $3,008,514. Berman, on the other hand, has a mere $446,849 in the bank. A Berman-affiliated super-PAC has less than $10,000 cash-on-hand.

The financial numbers are all the more telling when viewed in the context of the June primary when Sherman won what could only be called a landslide victory over Berman despite being heavily outspent. Sherman got 42 percent of the vote, Berman 32 percent in the June 6 primary. Berman’s lackluster showing at the polls came even after his authorized campaign spent $4.2 million and his super PAC spent almost $600,000, for a total expenditure of $4.8 million.

“We were heavily outspent but won in the primary,” said Skelton. “Now going into the second half of this race not only do we have a victory under our belt but also we have an imposing financial advantage. We feel very confident about our situation.”

Contact: John Schwada
john.schwada@gmail.com
(310) 709-0056

Click here to read the press release

Brad Sherman Election Night News Coverage

ABC reported that “In California’s most competitive Democrat-vs.-Democrat primary, Brad Sherman has landed the first punch.” Read the article here.

Politico had the following to say about the results: “Perhaps none are more imperiled, however, than Berman, the 15-term Democrat who is ranking member of the Foreign Affairs Committee and was thrown into the same San Fernando Valley district as Democratic Rep. Brad Sherman. After finishing significantly behind in Tuesday’s primary, Berman, who hasn’t won election with less than 60 percent of the vote, must persuade many … who contributed to his campaign to open their wallets again.” Read the article here.

Brad Sherman wins primary election by 10 points

With 100% of precincts reporting, Brad Sherman won yesterday’s primary by 10 points. Brad Sherman earned the support of 42.4% of primary election voters and his opponent who will move with him to the November election, Howard Berman, got just 32.4% of the vote.

Election results can be found by clicking here.

Daily News: “Poll: Sherman has big lead over Berman in Congressional District race”

With just two days until California’s primary election, USC releases a poll that shows Brad Sherman with a big lead over his opponents.

Daily News (June 2, 2012): “A USC poll set for release Sunday shows Rep. Brad Sherman with a significant lead over competitor Rep. Howard Berman in the closely watched 30th Congressional District race.

Coming two days before the primary, the online poll of 300 registered voters in the 30th District shows 31.7 percent of voters back Sherman and 24 percent support Berman.

The poll is one the first independent surveys in this highly competitive race, featuring two well-liked Capitol Hill veterans and a field of Republican candidates.

The top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, in Tuesday’s primary election face off in the November election.”

The Atlantic Magazine: Sherman an authentic man of the people

The Atlantic Magazine highlighted some important differences between Brad Sherman and his opponent this week.

The Atlantic (May 24, 2012): An obvious contrast between the two men suddenly came into focus, a way of typecasting them: Berman was the patrician, accomplished Washington insider; Sherman the authentic, people-powered man of the neighborhood.

Brad Sherman Op-Ed in The Hill: Too Big to Fail is Too Big to Exist

Congressman Brad Sherman wrote the following Op-Ed in The Hill on May 17, 2012. In it, he says “Never again should a financial institution be able to claim: ‘if we go down, the U.S. economy is going down with us.'”

May 17– “Is it any wonder why banks like JP Morgan can take such great risks? We have set a precedent whereby our major banks operate with an implicit guarantee that the government will be standing by to bail them out. JP Morgan’s multibillion dollar debacle is just the latest example of why we must better regulate Wall Street, and break up entities that are deemed too big to fail. Taxpayers may not have needed to bail JP Morgan out this time, but a recent history lesson should remind us why banks that are too big to fail are too big to exist.

In October 2008, some big Wall Street firms that had made bad investments in the imploding mortgage market decided that taxpayers should cover their losses. Wall Street flooded into Congress and demanded that taxpayers bail them out by using tax money to buy $700 billion worth of their bad mortgages. Wall Street called them “toxic assets” and called their bailout plan TARP, the Toxic Asset Recovery Program. The plan was for the taxpayers to buy their near-worthless toxic assets, so Wall Street could recover their investments. Our cash, for their trash.

After TARP was blocked in the House, the program was retooled. Not a dollar of taxpayer money was used to purchase toxic assets. Instead we bought preferred stock, a much better investment, and our losses a small fraction of what they would have been.

Today the biggest banks have an unfair competitive advantage through access to a lower-cost capital. Since they are regarded as “too big to fail,” they can receive loans at a lower rate because they have a safety net that the small and medium sized banks don’t have: the backing of the US taxpayer. This should not be – every financial institution should compete for capital based on the soundness of its balance sheet, and no financial institution should be able to claim that there is a special federal safety net available to its investors because of the institution’s sheer size.

The financial regulatory reform we passed under the Dodd-Frank Act already tasks the Federal Reserve and other regulators to identify the financial institutions that are so big that if they were to fail it would be a systemic problem for the country. The problem is, once these banks are identified, what should we do about it? Regulators, including the Fed and the Treasury have the authority under the Dodd-Frank to break up the largest banks, but it is highly unlikely they will use that authority. I believe that once we identify an institution as too big to fail, we must force it to divide.

Every protozoa has the intelligence to divide once it reaches a certain size, and the division is necessary to maintain health. Certainly the brilliant men and women on Wall Street are capable of intelligently dividing their behemoth firms.

Never again should a financial institution be able to claim: “if we go down, the U.S. economy is going down with us.” By breaking up these institutions long before they face a crisis, we ensure a healthy financial system where all firms can compete in the free market. No longer should giant financial institutions be able to get low-cost capital by telling investors that even if the institution is mismanaged it will be able to obtain a bailout from the federal government. That is why I have introduced the “Too Big to Fail, Too Big to Exist Act,” (HR 4963). This bill mandates the break-up of any institution identified by the regulators in the Dodd-Frank process as too big to fail. The legislation is similar to legislation authored by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I–Vt) and introduced in the 11th Congress and legislation authored by Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) and recently introduced in the 112th Congress.”

Hard Hats for Congressman Brad Sherman

Congressman Brad Sherman has just won the highly-prized endorsement of the 140,000-member Los Angeles/Orange County Building and Construction Trades Council for his reelection bid. “I’m very honored to have the endorsement of a group that has done so much to improve the lives of working men and women,” said Sherman, who is running for the 30th Congressional District seat.

Trades Council Executive-Secretary Robbie Hunter announced the endorsement and pledged his organization’s support for Sherman in his race.

“Brad Sherman understands the issues affecting working people and their day to day struggles,” said Hunter. “His experience and commitment to working families make him the best candidate in this race, and his election will benefit all San Fernando Valley citizens, not just our members. Public works projects led us out of the Great Depression, and Brad’s focus on creating jobs and ensuring that much-needed projects like bridges and reservoirs are funded will be a great benefit in turning around this economy.”

The Los Angeles/Orange Counties Building and Construction Trades Council represents skilled workers in dozens of crafts who build bridges, mass transit, roads, hospitals, and schools. The unions representing these skilled craft workers include the Boilermakers, Bricklayers & Allied Craftworkers, Electricians (IBEW), Elevator Constructors, Operating Engineers, Gunite Workers, Iron Workers, Laborers, Painters & Allied Trades, Pipe Trades, Plasterers & Cement Masons, Heat & Frost Insulators, Plaster Tenders, Roofers & Waterproofers, Sheet Metal Workers, Tradeshow & Sign Crafts, and the Teamsters.

For more information, contact campaign Press Secretary John Schwada

POLITICO: “If you live in the Valley, Brad’s the choice for most Valley folks.”

POLITICO features an article on Brad Sherman’s appeal to Valley Voters. Take a moment to read the story here:

Politico (May 13, 2012):“If Howard Berman is the Oscar, Brad Sherman’s the People’s Choice Award in the race to represent a new district in the shadow of Hollywood.

That’s the prevailing view among Democratic strategists and congressional aides keeping close tabs on an increasingly bitter race between the rhyming congressmen, who were lumped together this year by California’s unforgivingly independent redistricting commission.

Berman’s won the unofficial primary among Hollywood and D.C. elites, they say, but it’s Sherman who has the edge right now among voters who live among the backyard swimming pools and porn sets of the sprawling San Fernando Valley.

“If you live in the Hollywood/D.C. bubble Berman is lapping Sherman,” said Mike Trujillo, a Valley native who ran Hillary Clinton’s California campaign in 2008 and was a political aide to Rob Reiner. “If you live in the Valley, Brad’s the choice for most Valley folks right now.””